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2024-12-14 04:46:20

Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.IDC: The recovery of China's financial cloud market in the first half of 2024 was less than expected. According to the latest report "Tracking China's financial cloud market in the first half of 2024" released by IDC, the scale of China's financial cloud market in the first half of 2024 reached US$ 4.40 billion, up 7.3% year-on-year, and it was RMB 31.67 billion, up 11.5% year-on-year, achieving double-digit growth, but the growth rate was high. In the financial cloud sub-market, the cloud infrastructure market has picked up from the previous month, but the situation of financial institutions reducing costs and increasing efficiency has continued, and the overall development speed of the cloud solution market has further slowed down. From the overall situation of the financial cloud market in 2024, the financial cloud market in China is in a period of adjustment, and the development trend of each sub-market continues to differentiate.Research shows that the French "online celebrity" economy will earn nearly 6.5 billion euros in 2024. A research report released in Paris recently shows that the French "online celebrity" economy will earn nearly 6.5 billion euros in 2024, accounting for 0.16% of the country's gross domestic product (GDP).


China Merchants Ping 'an Assets established the No.2 Investment Center for Intelligent Calculation. According to the enterprise search APP, recently, Shenzhen Zhaoping Intelligent Calculation No.2 Investment Center (Limited Partnership) was established with a capital contribution of 300 million yuan, and its business scope includes: engaging in investment activities with its own funds. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the enterprise is indirectly wholly-owned by Shenzhen Merchants Ping An Asset Management Co., Ltd.Faraday Future announced today that it has delivered FF 91 2.0 Futurist Alliance to supermodel and designer Suede Brooks. FF executives attended the delivery ceremony and discussed with Suede about the co-creation of future technology and design fashion. Matthias Aydt, global CEO of FF, Jia Yueting, founder and chief product and user ecologist of FF, and Sue Neuhauser, head of FF design, attended the event and delivered the new car to Suede.Macao held a public sacrifice ceremony to mourn the victims of the Nanjing Massacre, and December 13th, 2024 was the 11th national public sacrifice day for the victims of the Nanjing Massacre. On the morning of the same day, the Macao SAR Government held a ceremony at the Institute of Environmental Protection and Security Forces, deeply mourning the victims of the Nanjing Massacre and all the compatriots killed by the Japanese aggressors. (CCTV)


Outlook of Consumer Industry of Minyin Securities in 2025: The expansion of domestic demand grasps the opportunity of differentiation and change. Minyin Securities released a report on the outlook of consumer industry in 2025, saying that consumer demand is generally weak in 2024, and price factors also restrict growth. Looking forward to China's consumer industry in 2025: (1) Consumption plays a leading role and expanding domestic demand is in a more priority position. The variety and scale of trade-in of consumer goods are expected to continue to expand, and local governments will also introduce new policies to promote consumption in light of local conditions. (2) Rational consumption is more differentiated, and consumers pay for quality-price ratio and spiritual experience. The performance of Tou International Consumer Goods Company in China is also characterized by differentiation. Most of them recognize the long-term value of the China market. Despite short-term challenges, they plan to focus on strengthening localization and continue to invest in the China market. (3) When Trump comes to power, consumption will face greater challenges, and it will require higher global supply chain integration ability, diversified layout and localization ability. It is suggested to grasp the main line of domestic demand expansion, including dairy products with expected improvement at the bottom, outdoor sectors with high prosperity and tidal play sectors. If the demand recovers as scheduled, the catering/sports shoes and clothing/chain retail industry in a period of change will be flexible. In terms of export chain, it is necessary to observe whether the risk of trade friction is fully priced. In the medium term, the overseas market is vast, and the key to success is the added value and bargaining power of products, the matching degree between overseas demand and overseas supply chain, and the global diversified layout.CICC: The personal pension system in the Mainland has been fully extended to the whole country to help the long-term development of the insurance industry. CICC published a research report that the personal pension system in the Mainland has been fully extended to the whole country. The bank believes that as one of the important allocation directions of personal pension, various promotion policies will help the long-term development of the insurance industry. Although the average scale of personal pension is small compared with other savings insurance, it can still obtain stable long-term funds and high-quality new customers if it is properly operated. Zhongjin pointed out that in the early stage, the insurance industry may need to establish close ties with powerful sales channels or explore the characteristic mode of self-owned agent channel sales. In the long run, it is necessary to strengthen its own asset management capabilities and explore special services such as health care, which may help build core competitiveness.Today, there is a wave of daily limit in the two major outlets. "No bean bags, no AI." With the continuous fermentation of the concept of bean curd in A-shares, some investors shouted such a slogan. Bean bag+toys, bean bag+advertising and marketing, bean bag+data, bean bag+computing power, bean bag+headphones ... Haitian Ruisheng, Runxin Technology, Shengguang Group and other concept stocks have caused continuous market pursuit. This morning, the concept of bean curd became active again, and the AI application end and hardware end of bean curd rose together. Lexin Technology, Zhongke Lanxun, Juxin Technology and Hengxuan Technology, which are known as the "four little dragons" of end-side AI SOC (system on a chip), rose collectively in intraday trading. Runze Technology, a computing stock, rose more than 16%, and its share price reached a new high. In addition, this morning, the market paid more attention to the concept of starting economy, and the exhibition and IP economy sectors rose. The ground element fashion gap opened higher, and it didn't take long for the daily limit to open. The reason is that Shanghai Disu Fashion Co., Ltd. was listed in the "2023 Shanghai First Economic Leading Brand List" published at the end of last year. (CSI)

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